Phenomena...
...are repeatable events or persistent things.
A suggestion for a rule:
If
it's not repeatable or persistent then science can't make use of it.
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Here 'science'
is 'the system of thought we use to
better describe and understand the universe (particularly the
corner
we inhabit).'
'Repeatable' means--as it sounds--over and over
again as many times as we wish to carry out an experiment or
observation. This eliminates from the category of phenomena: Something
that only maybe happened
once, particularly anecdotes.
(See also below concerning anecdotes.)
'Persistence'
means something continues to be physically present. It is
a re-statement of the idea of repeatability; if
a phenomenon persists then
it repeats its presence; 'I'm still here, I'm still here...'
It's interesting (to me) to try and work with these definitions to see
if there is any way around them. Are there non-repeatable
non-persistent things or events that are nevertheless an important part
of our
source material for science? How about a meteor streaking through the
sky or a meteorite crashing into a forest? Obviously we can't ask for
the meteorite to go back up and come down again, and if we can't find
it after searching the forest then it is hardly persistent. And yet
many scientists
have devoted their lives to studying meteors. What gives?
Consider an event similar to the meteor problem that
also has relevance to cosmology. Again it seems to
violate the
repeatable/persistent criterion on the surface. In 1054 A.D. in the
constellation of Taurus there suddenly appeared an incredibly bright
star--brighter
than the planet Venus--that could be seen in the daytime for 23 days
(so we are told).
Gradually it faded and was only visible at night for the next two
years. And then it faded out altogether, too dark to see by eye.
So it was sort of persistent
but... only for a couple of years.
If the accounts written down by the
people who saw it then were all we had then that would be
it. Interesting anecdote and nothing persistent to work with. Without
any corroborative evidence it would be a non-phenomenon. As astronomers
we'd have to shrug and move on. Yet what a pity; it's a
pretty
remarkable story, this star just appearing in the sky one day,
incredibly bright; it sure
would be nice if we could look into it a little further and maybe fit
it into
our jigsaw puzzle of how the sky works.
Happily that's not it; evolving technology comes to the
rescue. Over the last few centuries our telescopes have gotten much
better and we can now see the dim remnant that used to be this bright
star. Not just that but we can also see a cloud of gas surrounding that
star, and we can see other
sudden-brightness events happening elsewhere in the sky. They are not
so bright
that we can see them in daylight by eye but the change in brightness is
still there on the photographic plates.
In fact there is a double
success for science here: First telescope
technology has recovered that star and expanded it into something
we can see, with all sorts of accompanying details about the cloud of
gas.
Second, we have a mathematically precise physical theory of what
happens to stars when they run out of fuel, and this theory includes
big bright explosions. So we have
managed to rescue that bright star from 1054 and bring it
into the list of phenomena that we understand in the broad picture.
Perhaps we need an extension of the definition: Transient events have
to occur often enough to be observable and 'expectable', and then that
class of event becomes a phenomenon.
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Some history
A number of tricky devices were built circa
1880--1940 that generated a host
of new phenomena and propelled physics forward. The historical
myth surrounding this time is classic human drama. (Whether or
not this is how it really went is a harder question to answer;
Steven Jay Gould always emphasized that it is much easier to repeat
myths than look up what actually happened.) The myth states that the
world's (Europe's) theoretical
physicists rather smugly thought that they had reached the end of the
line in physics, and aspiring young physicists would do better for job
security to go into chemistry or architecture or street busking.
This was
because there seemed nothing that physics could not explain in 1895,
other than a few small details here and there that would soon be taken
care of.
But just as it seemed the closure of physics was
assured, the other physicists,
the experimental physicists
started producing a whole Pandora's box of these annoying small
details--seemingly at will, repeatedly, over and over--which persisted
in defying explanation. The experimentalist had stumped the
theoretician, and soon all sense of finito
was gone and everyone conceded that physics was utterly
mystifying, say in 1902. It amuses me to imagine that the
experimentalists thought they were playing a pretty good joke on the
theoreticians, knocking over their complacent orthodoxy, but
the theoreticians only smiled to themselves at these wonderful
unexplained catastrophes and went back to their drawing boards,
relieved that they
had alls sorts of job security after all.
In hindsight the phenomena
that came pouring out of the new infernal machines around the turn of
the
19th century onward are associated with
items or objects or devices or units or crumbs or particles or bits of stuff
or very small
rocks or... things
that necessarily had to be very very small. Paradoxically these
phenomena
must produce some effect that is observable on our human scale, the
scale of human eyes and ears (and
human fingers
when we touch the wrong bit of metal) otherwise we wouldn't think
anything was happening. That is, recording devices that tally or
record events from the very-small-world must do so on a human-sized scale.
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Philosophically (and practically) this is interesting to me: How we
bridge the
size gap
between small events and big recording devices. The transition
must occur through some sort of
magnification process, perhaps a cascade effect where some small
event triggers an avalanche that eventually becomes large enough to
see. Magnification is involved in film plates, Geiger
counters,
photomultiplier tubes, cloud chambers, microscopes and all other
detectors. It
is therefore important that the avalanche is
itself not
part of the mystery, but rather provides a faithful indication of what
is
happening at the smallest scale.
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Anecdotes.
My friend Matt Heavner is fond of the saying 'the plural of anecdote
is not data'. No amount of anecdotal evidence is real
source material for the science gristmill unless it meets the
repeatable/persistent criterion.
However it's important to understand and acknowledge that an anecdote
may be true and credible. Any given
anecdote has a context that establishes it's degree of credibility.
A
highly credible anecdote like "I think I saw a corkscrew track in my
cloud chamber" can motivate further attempts to record a legitimate
corkscrew path. I might for example build in a stronger magnet in a
slightly different location to try and increase my chances of producing
a corkscrew track repeatably until I have photographed dozens of
them. On the other hand a low-credibility
anecdote is valueless. The statement--should one subscribe to it--has
interesting implications. For example thing it implies that every
single alien encounter/abduction anecdote ever told has contributed
precisely nothing to the field of astrobiology. Which is a shame
considering how much effort has gone into all of
them. Collectively the human race has more evidence for the existence
of the Easter Bunny than it does for the existence of visiting aliens,
so that week after week I was consistently disappointed when the Easter
Bunny was completely ignored on The X Files.
Some anecdotes are very valuable, others not so; the matter often
depends on context, and ultimately we still come back to needing
repeatability and persistence--real phenomena--when it comes to making
progress in science.
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